As of as we speak:
Determine 1: CPI inflation year-on-year (black), median anticipated from Survey of Skilled Forecasters (blue +), median anticipated from Michigan Survey of Shoppers FINAL (crimson), median from NY Fed Survey of Client Expectations (gentle inexperienced), forecast from Cleveland Fed (pink), imply from Coibion-Gorodnichenko agency expectations survey [light blue squares], all in %. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Supply: BLS, College of Michigan by way of FRED and Investing.com, Philadelphia Fed Survey of Skilled Forecasters, NY Fed, Cleveland Fed and Coibion and Gorodnichenko, and NBER.
